Understanding the Gold-Inflation Nexus in Malaysia: Hedge and Safe Haven Perspectives

Mohd Fahmi Ghazali and Nurul Fasyah Mohd Ussdek and Hooi Hooi Lean and Ahmad Monir Abdullah and Anath Rau Krishnan (2022) Understanding the Gold-Inflation Nexus in Malaysia: Hedge and Safe Haven Perspectives. International Journal of Business and Society, 23 (1). pp. 279-296. ISSN 1511-6670

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The main objective of this study is to examine the roles of gold as a hedge or a safe haven against inflation in Malaysia. We propose the standard and quantile techniques in the volatility models, with a time-varying conditional variance of regression residuals based on TGARCH specifications. We found that gold only plays a minor role as a hedge and safe haven against inflation since their returns do not evolve at the same pace as inflation. On the other hand, the rolling regression results reveal that shelter incidents against purchasing power loss only occasionally occur at different times and not consistently across holding periods. We conclude that gold does not have the ability to secure Malaysian investment during high inflationary periods and at all times. Thus, Malaysian investors should hold a well-diversified portfolio to earn sustainable returns and protection from purchasing power loss.

Item Type: Article
Keyword: Gold , Inflation , Hedge , Safe Haven , Quantile , Rolling Regression
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic theory. Demography > HB1-3840 Economic theory. Demography
Department: FACULTY > Labuan Faculty of International Finance
Date Deposited: 17 Jul 2022 11:23
Last Modified: 17 Jul 2022 11:23
URI: https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/33359

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