Asymmetric nexus between stock price and exchange rate: Empirical evidence through NARDL

Rabia Luqman and Kasim Mansur and Mariashams Khakwani and Shanza Tabasum and Saadia Irshad (2021) Asymmetric nexus between stock price and exchange rate: Empirical evidence through NARDL. Indian Journal of Economics and Business, 20 (3). pp. 659-688.

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Abstract

Symmetric relationship between currency and equity markets has gained much attention among academicians and policy makers in the recent era. Many studies conducted on this relationship have concluded that there is short-run relationship between these variables and foundless evidence about a long-run relationship. Moreover, all previous studies supposed the linear or symmetrical relationship between these variables. This study aims to investigate that either stock price affects the exchange rate and exchange rate affect the stock price. Daily data of stock indices and real exchange rate for 14 countries includes Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, UK, USA, Russia, Brazil, China, India, Mexico and South Africa and Pakistan has been considered as sample data for this study. Unit root test (ADF &PP), Johansen’s Cointegration test, Error Correction Model and Granger Causality is applied to test the short and long run relationship between the variable of study. To check the symmetrical and asymmetrical relationship between currency and equity markets, linear and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) are applied. Results have shown that there are asymmetrical linkages between the currencyand equity markets.

Item Type: Article
Keyword: Unit root test, ADF &PP, Johansen’s Cointegration, VECM, Asymmetric linkages, linear and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag, ARDL & NARDL
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic theory. Demography > HB1-3840 Economic theory. Demography > HB3711-3840 Business cycles. Economic fluctuations
H Social Sciences > HG Finance > HG1-9999 Finance > HG3810-4000 Foreign exchange. International finance. International monetary system
Department: FACULTY > Faculty of Business, Economics and Accounting
Depositing User: SITI AZIZAH BINTI IDRIS -
Date Deposited: 16 Jun 2025 09:32
Last Modified: 16 Jun 2025 09:32
URI: https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/44147

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